Ukuthengiswa kwezimoto zamandla amasha e-Europe kuwuchithile lo mkhuba, futhi yimaphi amathuba azowathola izinkampani zaseChina?

Ngo-Agasti 2020, ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezintsha zamandla eJalimane, eFrance, e-United Kingdom, eNorway, ePortugal, eSweden nase-Italy kwaqhubeka nokukhuphuka, kwenyuka ngo-180% unyaka nonyaka, kanti izinga lokungena likhuphuke lafinyelela ku-12% (kuhlanganisa ugesi ohlanzekile kanye ne-plug-in hybrid).Engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka, ukudayiswa kwezimoto ezintsha zaseYurophu bekuyizi-403,300, okuyenza ibe imakethe yezimoto zamandla amasha enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni ngesikhathi esisodwa.

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(Umthombo wesithombe: Iwebhusayithi esemthethweni yakwaVolkswagen)

Esimweni sobhubhane olusha lwenyumoniya kanye nokwehla kwemakethe yezimoto, sekuqubuke ukuthengiswa kwezimoto zamandla amasha eYurophu.

Ngokusho kwedatha yakamuva evela ku-European Automobile Manufacturers Association (AECA), ngo-Agasti 2020, ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezintsha zamandla emazweni ayisikhombisa aseJalimane, eFrance, e-United Kingdom, eNorway, ePortugal, eSweden nase-Italy kwaqhubeka kwenyuka ngo-180. % unyaka nonyaka, futhi izinga lokungena likhuphuke lafinyelela ku-12. % (Kuhlanganisa ugesi omsulwa kanye ne-plug-in hybrid).Engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka, ukudayiswa kwezimoto ezintsha zaseYurophu bekuyizi-403,300, okuyenza ibe imakethe yezimoto zamandla amasha enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni ngesikhathi esisodwa.

Ngokombiko osanda kukhishwa yi-Roland Berger Management Consulting, ngemva kweminyaka engaphezu kweshumi yokwanda okuqhubekayo kokuthengisa, ukuthengiswa kwezimoto emhlabeni wonke kubonise ukwehla kancane kusukela ngo-2019. Ngo-2019, ukuthengisa kuvalwe ngamayunithi ayizigidi ezingama-88, unyaka nonyaka- ukwehla konyaka ngaphezu kuka-6%.U-Roland Berger ukholelwa ukuthi imakethe yezimoto zamandla amasha izokwandisa umthamo wayo, futhi uchungechunge lwezimboni lulonke lunamandla amakhulu okuthuthuka.

Uzakwabo omkhulu emhlabeni ka-Roland Berger u-Zheng Yun usanda kusho engxoxweni ekhethekile nentatheli yase-China Business News ukuthi ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezintsha ezisebenza ngamandla e-Europe kuwuchithile lo mkhuba futhi kuqhutshwa kakhulu yizinqubomgomo.I-European Union isanda kuphakamisa izinga layo lokungcoliswa kwekhabhoni lisuka ku-40% laya ku-55%, kanti ukukhishwa kwekhabhoni ekhawulelwe kuseduze nokukhishwa kwekhabhoni yaminyaka yonke yaseJalimane, okuzothuthukisa kakhulu ukuthuthukiswa kwemboni yamandla entsha.

UZheng Yun ukholelwa ukuthi lokhu kuzoba nemithelela emithathu ekuthuthukisweni kwemboni entsha yamandla: okokuqala, injini yomlilo yangaphakathi izohoxa kancane kancane esigabeni somlando;okwesibili, izinkampani zezimoto ezintsha ezisebenza ngamandla zizophinde zisheshise ukwakheka kwalo lonke uchungechunge lwezimboni;okwesithathu, Ukudidiyelwa kukagesi, ubuhlakani, inethiwekhi, nokwabelana kuzoba umkhuba ojwayelekile wokuthuthukiswa kwezimoto.

Kuqhutshwa inqubomgomo

UZheng Yun ukholelwa ukuthi ukuthuthukiswa kwemakethe yezimoto zamandla amasha e-Europe kulesi sigaba kuqhutshwa kakhulu yizinzuzo zikahulumeni zezezimali nezentela kanye nokuvinjelwa kokukhishwa kwekhabhoni.

Ngokwezibalo ezenziwa u-Xingye, ngenxa yentela ephakeme uma kuqhathaniswa nezindleko ezikhokhiswa izimoto zikaphethiloli eYurophu kanye noxhaso lwezimoto ezisebenza ngogesi emazweni ahlukahlukene, izindleko zokuthengwa kwezimoto zikagesi kubathengi baseNorway, eJalimane naseFrance sezivele ziphansi kunalokho. wezimoto zikaphethiloli (10% -20% ngokwesilinganiso).%).

“Okwamanje, uhulumeni usethumele uphawu lokuthi ufuna ukugqugquzela ukuvikelwa kwemvelo kanye namaphrojekthi amasha kagesi.Lezi yizindaba ezinhle ezinkampanini zezimoto nezingxenye ezikhona eYurophu.”UZheng Yun uthe, ikakhulukazi, izinkampani zezimoto, abahlinzeki bezingxenye, abahlinzeki bengqalasizinda njengenqwaba yokushaja, nabahlinzeki bezinsizakalo zobuchwepheshe bedijithali bonke bazozuza.

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukholelwa ukuthi noma ukukhula kwesikhathi esizayo kwemakethe yezimoto zamandla amasha yaseYurophu kungaqhubeka kuncike ezintweni ezintathu esikhathini esifushane: Okokuqala, ukuthi izindleko zokusetshenziswa kukagesi zingalawulwa ngokuphumelelayo ukuze izindleko zokusebenzisa amandla amasha. izimoto zilingana nezamafutha;Okwesibili, ingabe izindleko zokushaja kwamanje okunamandla amakhulu zingancishiswa;okwesithathu, ubuchwepheshe bokushayela bungakwazi ukugqekeza.

Intuthuko yesikhathi esimaphakathi neyesikhathi eside incike ekushubeni kokukhuthazwa kwenqubomgomo.Wengeze ngokuthi ngokwezinqubomgomo zoxhaso, amazwe angama-24 kwangu-27 e-EU ethule izinqubomgomo ezintsha zokukhuthaza izimoto zamandla, kanti amazwe ayi-12 amukele inqubomgomo yezinzuzo ezimbili zemixhaso kanye nezibonelelo zentela.Mayelana nokunciphisa ukukhishwa kwekhabhoni, ngemuva kokuthi i-EU yethule imithetho eqinile yokukhipha isikhutha emlandweni, amazwe e-EU asenegebe elikhulu ngomgomo ka-2021 wokukhishwa kwekhabhoni ongu-95g/km.

Ngaphezu kokukhuthazwa kwenqubomgomo, ngasohlangothini lokuhlinzekwa kwempahla, izinkampani ezinkulu zezimoto nazo ziyayenza imizamo.Amamodeli amelwe uchungechunge lwe-ID yesikhulumi se-Volkswagen's MEB yethulwa ngo-September, futhi ama-Teslas enziwe e-US athunyelwa e-Hong Kong ngobuningi kusukela ngo-August, futhi umthamo wokunikezela ukhule kakhulu.

Ngasohlangothini lwesidingo, umbiko kaRoland Berger uveza ukuthi ezimakethe ezifana neSpain, Italy, Sweden, France, Germany, u-25% kuya ku-55% wabantu uthe bazocabanga ukuthenga izimoto ezisebenza ngamandla amasha, okuyisibalo esiphezulu kunesilinganiso somhlaba.

“Izingxenye ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe cishe zizobamba leli thuba”

Ukudayiswa kwezimoto ezintsha ezisebenza ngamandla e-Europe kuphinde kwaletha amathuba ezimbonini ezihambisana nakho e-China.Ngokusho kwedatha evela ku-Chamber of Commerce of Electrical and Mechanical Services, izwe lami lithumele izimoto zamandla amasha angu-23,000 eYurophu engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka, ngesamba sezigidi ezingu-760 zamaRandi aseMelika.I-Europe iyimakethe yezwe lami enkulu yokuthekelisa yezimoto ezintsha zamandla.

UZheng Yun ukholelwa ukuthi emakethe yezimoto zamandla amasha yaseYurophu, amathuba ezinkampani zaseShayina angase abekwe ezicini ezintathu: izingxenye ezithunyelwa kwamanye amazwe, ukuthunyelwa kwezimoto kwamanye amazwe, kanye nezindlela zebhizinisi.Ithuba elithile lincike ezingeni lobuchwepheshe lamabhizinisi aseShayina ngakolunye uhlangothi, kanye nobunzima bokufika ngakolunye.

UZheng Yun uthe izingxenye ezithunyelwa ngaphandle kungenzeka kakhulu zilibambe leli thuba.Emkhakheni "wamandla amathathu" wezingxenye zemoto yamandla amasha, izinkampani zaseShayina zinezinzuzo ezisobala kumabhethri.

Eminyakeni yakamuva, ubuchwepheshe bebhethri lamandla ezwe lami buye benza inqubekelaphambili enkulu, ikakhulukazi ukuminyana kwamandla kanye nesistimu ye-material yesistimu yebhethri ibe ngcono kakhulu.Ngokwezibalo ezinconywe uMnyango Wezimboni Nobuchwepheshe Bolwazi, isilinganiso samandla esimaphakathi sesistimu yebhethri yezimoto zabagibeli ezisebenza ngogesi sikhuphuke ngokuqhubekayo sisuka ku-104.3Wh/kg ngo-2017 saya ku-152.6Wh/kg, okukhulula kakhulu ukukhathazeka kwemayela.

U-Zheng Yun ukholelwa ukuthi imakethe eyodwa yase-China inkulu uma kuqhathaniswa futhi inezinzuzo ngesilinganiso, ngokutshalwa kwezimali okukhulu ku-R&D kwezobuchwepheshe, kanye namamodeli ebhizinisi amasha angabhekwa."Kodwa-ke, imodeli yebhizinisi ingahle ibe nzima kakhulu ukuya phesheya kwezilwandle, futhi inkinga enkulu isekufikeni."UZheng Yun uthe iChina isivele ihamba phambili emhlabeni mayelana nezindlela zokushaja nokushintshanisa, kodwa ukuthi ngabe ubuchwepheshe bungakwazi yini ukuzivumelanisa nezindinganiso zaseYurophu kanye nendlela yokubambisana nezinkampani zaseYurophu kuseyinkinga.

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, wakhumbuza ukuthi esikhathini esizayo, uma izinkampani zaseShayina zifuna ukuhambisa imakethe yezimoto zamandla amasha aseYurophu, kungase kube nengozi yokuthi izinkampani zezimoto zaseShayina zibe nengxenye ephansi yemakethe ephezulu, futhi ukuphumelela kungase kube nzima. .Ezinkampanini zaseYurophu nezaseMelika, zombili izinkampani zezimoto zendabuko kanye nezinkampani zezimoto ezintsha ezinamandla sezivele zethula izimoto ezintsha ezisebenza ngamandla, futhi izinhlobo zazo ezisezingeni eliphezulu zizovimba ukwanda kwezinkampani zaseShayina eYurophu.

Njengamanje, izinkampani zezimoto ezijwayelekile zaseYurophu ziyasheshisa ukuguqukela ekufakeni ugesi.Thatha iVolkswagen njengesibonelo.AbakwaVolkswagen sebekhiphe isu labo elithi “2020-2024 Investment Plan”, bememezela ukuthi bazokwenyusa ukuthengiswa kwezimoto ezisebenza ngogesi ezingashintshiwe kuye ezigidini ezingama-26 ngo-2029.

Emakethe ekhona, ingxenye yemakethe yezinkampani zezimoto ezijwayelekile zaseYurophu nayo ikhula kancane kancane.Imininingwane yakamuva yeGerman Automobile Manufacturers Association (KBA) ikhombisa ukuthi emakethe yezimoto zikagesi yaseGermany, iVolkswagen, Renault, Hyundai nezinye izinhlobo zezimoto zesintu zicishe zibe izingxenye ezimbili kwezintathu zemakethe.

Ngokwemibiko yabezindaba yakwamanye amazwe, engxenyeni yokuqala yalo nyaka, imoto kagesi yakwaRenault yakwaRenault, iZoe, iwine ubuqhawe eYurophu, okuwukunyuka okucishe kube ngu-50% unyaka nonyaka.Engxenyeni yokuqala ka-2020, kwaRenault Zoe badayise izimoto ezingaphezu kuka-36,000, eziphakeme kunezimoto zikaTesla Model 33,000 zeTesla kanye nezimoto zeVolkswagen Golf ezingu-18,000.

“Emkhakheni wezimoto ezisebenza ngamandla amasha, ukuncintisana kwekusasa nobudlelwano bokubambisana kuzofiphala kakhulu.Izimoto zamandla amasha azikwazi ukuzuza kuphela ohlelweni lokufakwa kukagesi, kodwa futhi zingase zenze impumelelo entsha ekushayeleni ngokuzenzakalelayo nasezinsizeni zedijithali.Ukwabelana ngenzuzo phakathi kwezinkampani ezahlukene, ukwabelana ngengozi kungase kube imodeli yentuthuko engcono.”Kusho uZheng Yun.

——-izindaba umthombo


Isikhathi sokuthumela: Oct-10-2020